Posts Tagged ‘farros’

Unless you’re short — and other than the great St. Patrick’s Day holiday where we all get to be green — not many silverlinings these days.

Except one big one:  The planet Earth is happier.

Maybe shutting down everything will give the planet a chance to breathe again?

After all, in terms of our stewardship of Earth, we’ve all acting like kindergarteners…

… so it’s fitting that the solution to climate change might very well be a global time out! 

Everyone is weighing in on Coronavirus prognostications.

I will try to keep mine to just the ones I feel are fairly unique.

My theme?  We couldn’t be better prepared for exactly the crisis we’re going to be going through.

*  This isn’t like the last two great crashes.

The 2001 “Dotcom Crash” was based on massive valuations with zero profits — and in many cases, zero revenues.

The 2008 “Great Recession” crash was based on artificially pumped up real estate prices, not real productivity gains.  (It was also exacerbated by skyrocketing oil prices, due to political, not fundamental, issues… and had twice the unemployment we have now.)

Whatever we’re calling 2020 — The Corona Crash? — we’re starting with real businesses, with real revenue growth, making real profits, involved in real productivity gains, historically low unemployment, and extraordinarily low oil prices.

In other words, we’re already starting with a much stronger hand.

*  Ironically, many of the productivity gains of the last decade involve remote technologies, i.e., letting employees work from home, ordering pretty much anything online, and, as important, socializing from a far.

So, in many ways, the last decade or two has been great practice for this exact situation:  Remote working, remote living, and social distancing.

*  Not only are the remote technologies in place, but the entire millennial generation prefers to socially distance.

Half the time millennials have their heads buried in their phones — even when they’re sitting right next to each other.  So do you really think they care whether they’re in the same room or a different state?  Not at all.

*  While older generations panic about bailouts and handouts and such, the entire millennial generation knows nothing but bailouts and handouts.

So do millennials think we’re in a crisis?  Absolutely not.  Feels pretty normal to them, like it’s just something we go through every once in a while.  What’s the fuss?

*  And finally:  The market needed to be popped.  Markets aren’t supposed to go straight up, like they did almost the entire month of February.

So we’re down 20%?  I can easily make the case we were 30% overvalued.  Because markets aren’t supposed to go straight up.

I’m not saying it’s not going to be rough, but I am saying we seem to be particularly prepared for this crisis.  It’s like a lot of what we need to do is already done.

We’ll see.

I’m fascinated by the events unfolding between China and the NBA.

Yesterday CNBC ran this headline:

China Silver Will Face Retribution

… and then inside the article this quote:

What Does This Even Mean China

Ha!  China really doesn’t get it:  THAT’S WHAT FREEDOM OF SPEECH IS ALL ABOUT!

My respect for the NBA — and Mark Cuban who has also been chiming in — just went through the roof.

I just read an interesting — disturbing — piece on our state budget:

CA’s Budget Doubled In 8 Years To $218 Billion

Both the title of the article… and the title of this post… says it all.  Ugh.

Kevin Durant came back from a calf injury in Game 5 of the NBA Championship… only to rupture his Achilles Tendon.

I agree with the popular opinion:  Tragic.

I also agree with the other popular opinion:  What a fighter… a warrior!

Having KD in there was awesome.  Easy to tell with his offense.  But I thought the real advantage was his defense.  The Raptors, who have been driving to the basket with regularity, couldn’t get around KD’s speed & massive wingspan.  Indeed, it was clear the Warrior defense simply played at a different level with KD in there.

But, I may be the only one to have some additional, random odd thoughts about this as well:

  • Did anyone else feel guilty because we all secretly wanted KD to play, and all secretly thought the calf injury couldn’t be that bad?  I certainly was feeling guilty… and the press was no help.  But then I thought about it:  I was told it was a calf injury… which is certainly surmountable with a full 30 days of professional physical therapy.  If we were told it wasn’t actually a calf injury but it affected the Achilles, too, I am positive there’s not a single person that would have expected him to play.  So I don’t want to feel guilty for rooting for a terrific player to come back given the information we were given.
  • Did anyone see that massive ice pack they put around KD’s calf when he first came out of the game?  I originally thought, “uh, oh, that can’t be good.”  And then I thought about it… and decided that was smart to keep any swelling down.  Now that I think about it, though, it also froze all the muscles and ligaments… which could have contributed to making the Achilles vulnerable.  I wonder if any physical therapists are rethinking that strategy today?
  • Steve Kerr is obviously brilliant.  But, I wonder why he didn’t rest KD longer during the game?  The Warriors seemed like they had things in hand… and, after all, KD hadn’t played for 30 days, you would think he would have wanted to play him sparingly… ?
  • Final odd thought:  When he torn his Achilles, he simply let go of the ball… which resulted in an easy layup for Raptors.  For an athlete of the top caliber as KD, you would think he would have at least tried to call a time out… or try to pass the ball to a teammate in some way.  Remember when 49er NaVorro Bowan suffered a hugely painful — gruesome — knee injury against the Seahawks?  As he was writhing in pain, he still had the professional presence of mind to search for the ball — while flat on his back — and secure it.  It was one of the bravest moments I’ve ever seen in sports.  I kinda feel like KD could have… or maybe should have?… done something like that, too.

 

OK, enough odd thoughts.  I sincerely hope Kevin Durant heals fully and quickly, he absolutely deserves it.

And, among the many reasons why I want the Warriors to win, now chief among them is to get a ring for KD!  He absolutely deserves that, too.

On June 10, 2016, the Golden State Warriors were up 3-1 in the championship series against the Cleveland Cavaliers… a thoroughly dominant position to be in as no team in NBA history has every come back from a 1-3 deficit.

A whole bunch of incredibly improbable things happened… and, unbelievably, SHOCKINGLY, the Warriors lost.

So, I sincerely believe the Universe owes us an improbable win right back.

I’ll take the Universe and the Warriors in 7.

6/10/19 UPDATE:  Warriors 106 Raptors 105!  Now a 2-3 deficit.

6/13/19 UPDATE:  Raptors 114 Warriors 110.  Ugh.  Am quite bummed.  The Universe still owes us one.

My best friend passed today.

His name was Milo.  And he was an 11-year-old male Doberman, a gift for my daughter from Santa Claus when she was just six-years old.

Some may say a strange gift for a young child… especially judging by the initial fears from parents of Elle’s other six-year-old friends.

But as my wife predicted, everyone came to love Milo.  He was so gentle and child-like around family and friends that we often called him, not a Doberman, but a Doberboy.

On the other hand, with Milo at the foot of Elle’s bed, no child ever slept as safe.

I spent more time with Milo in the last 11 years than I think any other living creature.

He was a good listener, graciously letting me do most of the talking.

Milo was always there for us.  He’d gleefully smile when we’d return home (I kid you not).  He’d run with me.  We’d rough house like boys do.  He was watchful day or night, always vigilant.  He’d put his head in my lap when he knew I needed a hug.

Milo had what is known as “Wobblers” — Cervical Vertebral Instability or CVI.  It’s found in large breeds such as Dobermans.  Instead of the bones in his spine protecting his spinal cord, they abnormally compressed it, causing increasing paralysis.

We first starting seeing signs of Wobblers about 2-3 years ago.  It was about then that we could tell he wasn’t so keen on chasing squirrels around the yard any longer (squirrels, of course, being a major security violation).  We were hoping it was just age.  But sadly it wasn’t.

Even with increasing paralysis, Milo carried himself with the dignity befitting his proud lineage to the very end.

There’s a big hole in my family’s heart tonight.  Please keep a good thought in your’s for Milo our Doberboy.

Milo